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HOUSING UPDATE: Real Estate Markets Slows Down Fast

30 August 2006 by Stefan Swanepoel Please wait View Comments
HOUSING UPDATE: Real Estate Markets Slows Down Fast

As a result of the unprecedented rise in housing prices during the last five years it seems the nation has become cautious anticipating the predicted housing bubble to burst. Although there is no doubt that the market has cooled, the latest numbers announced this week by the National Association of Realtors, the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, seems to indicate that the market is still holding surprisingly firm.

The national median price for an existing home was $230,000 last month, up 0.9% from one year earlier while existing home sales including single-family houses, townhouses, condos, and co-ops were down 4.1%. Inventory continued to rise and at the end of July there were 3.86 million existing homes on the market ‘ equal to a 7.1 months supply, the highest since 1992.

On the “hard landing” side are those that remind us that a huge concern is the growing number of new homes currently under construction together with the large amount of real estate speculators who bought homes on the anticipation of rising prices will cause a growing glut of house for sale.

On the “soft landing” side we are reminded that a large one million legal immigrant pool, together with a maturing block of former immigrants reaching now only reaching their peak home buying years and the fact that Echo-boomers (Gen Y) at an estimated 76 million strong are now only just entering their first time home buying years.

Quo Vadis?“? The question is easy. Which will be larger ‘ Supply or Demand?

What do you think? Lets blog”

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  • Orlando is definately in for a rocky time. We break out by category who is getting hite and for how long...

    http://orlandorealestatetrends...
  • Stefan:
    What is your opinion on the current state of the real estate industry? When do you expect that things will pick up again? Thanks!
  • Yes, even in our pricey San Francisco Bay Area, we are seeing a huge run up of inventory. Muc of that in the East Bay is due to folks who had to have the current "new model" homes in the Brentwood,Antioch, Pittsburg area. Now the chickens are coming home to roost. Neg Am mortgages, 2 hour commutes, the feeling of isolation from the San Francisco area are all contributing to the 2,500+ homes on the market in that area. I look at the symptoms as those of the new car buyer; new and shiny, who cares what the monthly payments are.
    Although our market has slowed significantly, we still manage 10-12 sales a week in our Walnut Creek office. When interviewing sellers, the question of "Do you want to sell or just be in the market?" is often the determining factor in whether we wil take the listing. Our market is very neighborhood centric and the multiple offer, although much rarer now, still occurs.
    Like the last three debacles, we will weather this one as California is historically short 200,000 to 300,000 housing units a year.
  • According to www.CNNMoney.com more alarm bells for the stumbling housing market rang Thursday, as a government report on new home sales showed a bigger-than-expected drop in sales, along with a continued rise in unsold homes and a further weakening of prices in the closely watched sector. New homes sold at an annual pace of 1.07 million in July, according to the Census Bureau report, down from the 1.12 million pace in June, which was also revised slightly lower than the original reading
    "We've got a situation where supply is growing significantly faster than demand," said Paul Kasriel, chief economist for Northern Trust in Chicago. "That means prices are going to need to come down. I think it's going to take at least a couple of years to work out this imbalance, and after that I suspect that the market may go sideways for some time."
  • The market has definitely stalled. There are people giving away their cars and boats as an incentive to buyers. What a change from a year ago. Who has heard of other interesting seller incentives?
  • We have been covering this subject since NewMax constinues to post articles about the housing crash in order to promote some program they are selling for alternate investing. I dare them to show me how a 1-1 investment like gold can compare with a leveraged investment like real estate... a market that continues to hold strong.

    We just came from a Coldwell Banker conference in Chicago and almost without exception, Realtors from all over the country are telling us that, "Yes, the market has slowed, but is becoming more normal rather."

    Thanks for allowing us a place to vent our frustration with the negaitve media coverage.
  • Good to have you guys aboard! Let the dialog begin!
  • Selling Your Home Quick in a Slow Market

    The housing bubble hasn't burst, but it has a pinhole in it that's slowly deflating it. If you plan on living in your house for several more years, the slump in housing prices is little reason for concern.

    If you have to sell now, however, that slowly deflating bubble can pop you into panic mode.

    My advice is not to panic. By following some fundamental house selling strategies and picking up a few tips for selling your home in a slow market, you can still find eager buyers and get top dollar for your property. Here's what you do:

    Price it right the first time. Research recent sales prices of comparable homes in your area, and set your price in line with your market. The longer you hold onto a property in a slumping market, the more you stand to lose.

    Fix whatever's broken. In a buyer's market, buyers get picky. They won't pay for a ramshackle property. Fix it up.
    Install new wall-to-wall carpeting and repaint the interior. This quick, affordable investment pays dividends when it comes time to place your home on the market.

    Properly stage your home. Staging or showing your home consists of turning it into a showcase. Visit model homes in new housing additions to learn staging techniques from the pros.

    Hire a top real estate agent. In a slow market, a quality real estate agent is a key to selling your home quick and getting the price you wantâ
  • No Real Estate bubble in plain view says Gakwaya



    The naysayers have been preaching the bursting real estate bubble in Orlando for the past year now, and, with relative gusto I might add. Meanwhile, all evidence conspicuously appears to be contradicting this belief as nothing more than unfounded pessimism by a large majority of the myopic in a market that is indeed still experiencing explosive growth.



    According to the Orlando Regional Realtor Association 21,260 homes were sold in Orlando during January, 2005 through to July, 2005, with â
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